MATHEMATICAL VALUE ENGINE

SPORTS ODDS CALCULATORS

Eliminate emotional bias with quantitative probability models. Compute true expected value (+EV) and optimal capital preservation stakes.

POSITIVE EXPECTATION (+EV)

EXPECTED VALUE (+EV) CALCULATOR

OFFERED DECIMAL ODDS (e.g. 2.10)

ESTIMATED WIN PROBABILITY % (e.g. 52%)

WAGER STAKE AMOUNT (₹)

EXPECTED VALUE PER BET:

+₹92.00

+9.20% ROI Edge

Formula: EV = (P_win * Profit) - (P_loss * Stake). A positive number indicates a mathematical edge over the market.

CAPITAL ALLOCATION

DECIMAL ODDS (e.g. 2.20)

YOUR ESTIMATED WIN PROBABILITY % (e.g. 50%)

TOTAL BANKROLL (₹)

KELLY FRACTION (SAFETY FACTOR)

RECOMMENDED OPTIMAL STAKE:

₹1,041.67

2.08% of Total Bankroll

Quarter-Kelly prevents gambler’s ruin and cushions against model estimation variance.